In seven of his eleven starts Brad Holt has not survived past the fifth inning.
On Friday the righty made his team-leading twelfth start verses their Yankees affiliated rival, the Trenton Thunder. The results were bad to worse, as he allowed five earned runs and walked seven, one shy of his career high eight, in three innings. When he handed the ball to manager Wally Backman his ERA was 15.00.
Mechanics or mentality, lack of comfort or lack of health, there's always a question whether it's physical or mental, or a potent mixture of both. With Holt, there's a sense that his sensibility is affected.
"This is just from speculation, but Holty has a hard time concentrating for long periods of time," said Binghamton Mets manager Wally Backman. "That's what I've seen. He'll be great, like a few starts ago he pitched four perfect innings and in the fifth it was like a different pitcher. I think it's not his stuff. It's lack of concentration. You can't just lose your stuff that fast."
Any psychological issue is tricky. If Holt is feeling a lack of confidence or lacking focus, as players do, the process can be long. And there is no real answer. Sometimes it can take time, even, perhaps, a winter break to get themselves back.
So far he's 2-5 with a 4.26 ERA. His 40 walks allowed are a glaring digit over the 57 innings he's pitched.
Holt,25, has played parts of seasons at the Double-A level since 2009. He's not had a full season at that level and he likely needs it.
"I think before he can leave here he's got to show a little more consistency," said Backman.
The Mets chose Holt in the 2008 draft in the first round (33rd overall) and he did exactly what the Mets wanted him to do at short-season Class-A Brooklyn. He went 5-3 with 1.87 ERA, allowing just three home runs and striking out 96 in 72 innings. 2009 earned him two promotions - he started the season at St. Lucie, finishing the season at Binghamton with a 6.21 ERA. He stumbled through Binghamton in 2010, finishing the season back at St. Lucie with a 7.48 ERA.
"Well, he started off hot this year," said pitching coach Mark Valdes. "Like most pitchers, guys start thinking too much and start doing too much. And it's about simplifying it. He's working on mechanics and he's working on getting the ball down in the zone. And that's what he did early on."
Command is the key factor. In Holt's Friday start he struggled to throw strikes from the first inning. He was unable to keep hitters off balance with any off-speed stuff. And although this is not an exact reading from radar, his velocity definitely dropped from his last start against Trenton. Previously, he's thrown harder and was able to hit his spots much more consistently.
There's certainly something to be said for an offense that has not given him run support. The B-Mets are averaging four runs per game in Holt's starts. The team as a whole is batting .239, the second worst average in the Eastern League. There might not be a lot of confidence to go around for a team that's gone 19-39.
Maybe the offense doesn't matter. Maybe there's something Brad Holt just can't get straight and won't this season. But he's still got plenty of time.
And his progress still matters to the Mets and a fanbase that's starving for promise.
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